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AAPL Stock: 502.12 ( -0.09 )

Another analyst predicts iPod delays

updated 06:05 pm EDT, Fri July 7, 2006

iPod delay worries expand


Apple shares hovered near six-month lows today after another analyst stated said that the company's new iPod nano could see delays of up to two months. Research analyst Tristan Gerra of Baird equity in a note to clients said spot pricing for 8GB NAND flash memory dropped 31 percent since last week, which he attributes entirely to delays in Apple's launch of the next iPod nano, according to a report from AppleInsider. "Our checks indicate this pricing decline was induced by a 2-month pushout in iPod nano-related orders, from June to August," Gerra wrote. "This suggests Apple's upcoming 6GB-8GB Nano will be on the shelves in November rather than September." Gerra also believes second quarter sales for a major NAND flash supplier fell below target, which suggests an inventory dump along with continued pricing pressures in the coming month.

In late June American Technology Research analyst Shaw Wu voiced concerns that new versions of Apple's video iPod and iPod nano could be delayed by up to six months.

"We previously believed that new Nanos and the widescreen video iPod could ship in Q3 and Q4, respectively," Wu wrote in a research note. "However, we now believe that both could be delayed by a quarter or two."


by MacNN Staff

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  1. ooshnoo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Nov 2005

    0

    Morons...

    s**** these "analysts." what do they know? are they inside Apple's R&D plants? No. I can't believe these people get paid a salary for prediciting things that they have no first hand knowledge of.

  1. dashiel

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Sep 2001

    0

    i would laugh...

    heartily at these "pull some news out of my a**" analysts, except for the fact their opinion has measurable outcome on some of my investments. so while i will laugh when the new nano ship and sells a bajillion units, right now i'm less than thrilled.

  1. gooser

    Senior User

    Joined: Jun 2006

    0

    analyze this

    well now, i'm an analyst and i say the new g5 powerbooks are coming.

  1. iolaire

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Mar 2001

    0

    hard to tell

    Regardless of what the analyst say, there is a HUGE amount of various iPod configurations available refurbished directly from the Apple Store. Usually there are only a few models available, now there are many, and they are even bundling armbands and such to sell older items. To me it seems like they are trying hard to clear out much more refurbished inventory than in the past. Whether that relates to new models I do not know.

  1. LouZer

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Nov 2000

    0

    Not hard to predict

    Since they haven't announced any new product, its hard to say anything will be delayed.

    As for them being morons because they "get paid to predict things that they have no first hand knowledge of", why do you think they get paid? h***, with first hand knowledge, then any chinp on a message board could analyze a freakin' market. They get paid to look at the signs and signals, ANALYZE them, and try to predict what's going to happen. See, this way, if they're correct, they've then were able to know things like "Hey, the new ipods are going to be delayed, meaning current sales will stagnate, dropping the stock price even more. Better sell....".

    Plus, they wouldn't have to try to half-a** guess on Apple's future if apple wasn't all secretive about their future plans. But since they are, they've got to try to deduce what they might be.

    Or, I guess, they could just tell all their investors "We have no idea what Apple is going to do over the next 3 months to 5 years, so you're better off not risking your money and invest in other companies", which, in turn, would just cause Apple's stocks to go into the toilet. And, dashiel, they didn't say they wouldn't sell a bajillion of them, they just said they believe they're being delayed.

  1. tom_heijtink

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jul 2006

    0

    Analizing

    The value of the market is not only based on how product lines are updated ever so often. But also how long a particular product can hold its value within the market. It is relativly easy to have new ideas and put those ideas in every new product release. However it is quite a bit different to make a product that other competitors cannot replace even though they have the oppertunity to include the things that would be missing in the initial product. Till this point they might say that it is taking long for Apple to come out with a new Ipod. But so is the rest of all the companies. The Ipod is still a good product. There has nobody been out there to beat the Ipod. So it would be foolish to spend a lot of time and effort bringing out a new Ipod and giving the other competitors more chance to beat the Ipod. Let first the others bring out new products then Apple can show what they have got. Apple has got the MP3 market and let them hold it relaxed and confidently. There is no need to panick people are just not used to the fact that Apple actually holds a market for a longer period of time and the doubters just have to first see and then believe. The question is only: “how much do they need to see, before they really believe that Apple has that market and is the best in design, quality and innovation?”.

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