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Fujitsu: tablets will overtake PCs by 2016, iPad is proof

updated 03:20 pm EDT, Tue August 2, 2011

Fujitsu sees iPad and other tablets passing PCs

Tablets are likely to overtake PCs within the next five years, Fujitsu CTO Dr. Joseph Reger claims. He expects devices like the iPad to eat into PC sales to where tablets become the dominant models by 2016. Most users consider consuming content more important than creating it, Dr. Reger says in Register-caught statements, and it's mostly just business that needs desktops and notebooks.

As prices decline, tablets could be cheap enough that users don't have to go to one machine, the CTO envisioned. An owner could have multiple tablets and just leave them in parts of the home where the tablet is most necessary. The upcoming Amazon tablet if cheap enough could fit that role.

Key to the success would be app availability, he said. Apple currently has an advantage with over 100,000 native iPad apps where Android, BlackBerry Tablet OS, and webOS have a few thousand at best.

Dr. Reger's comments are somewhat unusual for Fujitsu, which has usually tied most of its fate to Microsoft and still makes a large number of the traditional PCs that would be hurt if the prediction came true. Fujitsu is distinct among Windows manufacturers, however, in leaning fairly heavily on tablets and just this summer is breaking rank with an Android tablet. The Japanese firm may be hinting at a future direction that shies away from notebooks and, even on Windows, focuses more on systems like the LifeBook TH40D.

Accuracy for the estimate is difficult to gauge. Intel may have given indirect support in reporting its spring revenues. While it hit a record high, much of that was in enterprise-grade servers and workstations. Chips for home computers were mostly saved by enough of those abandoning netbooks moving on to pricier notebooks even as some of them were opting for tablets.

by MacNN Staff



  1. The Vicar

    Joined: Dec 1969


    Yeah, right.

    Much though I would like to see a market Apple rules take over, I am skeptical. Industry analysts are always incredibly gullible. Anyone remember how in 1999, Linux was going to take over the world by 2004 and Microsoft was going to have to open-source all its products to remain commercially viable?

  1. lamewing

    Joined: Dec 1969


    Creation vs Consumption

    I think the tablet form is great, but the current view of it being a consumption device is too limited. Add true Wacom stylus support with hand detection so that when drawing the tablet ignores your hand and only accepts input from the stylus and we would have a winner. Add in 100% support for external bluetooth keyboards as well!!!

  1. BigMac2

    Joined: Dec 1969


    Overtake? Maybe

    I don't think PC and tablets compete with each other and would certainly not make one disappear. But the truth is, if you have a family, chance are you have multiple PCs at home if not all family members got one already. Two years ago, the PCs was the only way to "consume" the internet and tablets is changing that. Tablet will replace those extra PC in a house, ask a kid what it would prefer between a cheap TV and game console or and iPad. Chances are tablets will gradually replace some PC and got multiple of them in a house while keeping a PC for bigger task

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