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Analysts: Apple could ship 4 million iPads in 2010

updated 08:10 pm EST, Wed January 27, 2010

2 million units expected to be sold in the US


Analysts have already begun adjusting their predictions and impressions regarding Apple's new iPad tablet, with the research group IDC anticipating worldwide sales of four million units this year. The group believes Apple may sell two million iPads just in the US market this year, with sales accelerating as the device gains momentum in the near future.

IDC praises Apple for its overall strategy with the iPad, especially the decision to base the device on the iPhone platform. The move should allow developers to easily bring their iPhone apps onto the iPad, or create apps optimized for the tablet-size interface. The new device could also prove attractive to print media companies, many of which have recently announced projects to bring magazine and newspaper content onto tablets.

"Media companies in particular should view the iPad as not just another distribution channel, but as a key channel to engage with the apps developers who have churned out 140,000+ apps driving 3+ billion downloads over the iPhone in the past 18 months," the IDC report reads.

Although Apple's use of its own A4 processor has raised questions, the decision is believed to have been based on considerations for battery performance and costs. IDC claims the display, using LCD-based IPS technology, may not offer the same level of outdoor performance as the Kindle's E Ink display. Overall, the form factor is considered "truly portable," with a 1/2-inch thickness and weight of just 1.5 pounds.

Despite the rumors pointing to Verizon as a potential data partner for the iPad, Apple has instead followed the iPhone path by selecting AT&T for 3G service. IDC analysts, however, view this choice as the potential "Achilles heel" of the iPad's entry strategy, considering the wide range of reports critical of AT&T's 3G service with the iPhone.

On the other hand, at $15/month for 250MB and $30/month for unlimited data, the service is much cheaper than establishing mobile broadband on a notebook. Customers are also able to enroll in service without a one- or two-year contract.

Initial buyers are expected to be mostly early adopters and Apple enthusiasts, although the App Store efforts, which helped boost iPhone sales, could also become a driving force for the iPad.

"The iPad offers the media industry the opportunity to leverage Apple' hallmark design aesthetic and customer experience, enormous application developer community, and a range of connectivity options to propel their businesses into the new decade," the IDC analysts conclude.


by MacNN Staff

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Comments

  1. LEStudios

    Banned

    Joined: Jul 2008

    +1

    I'm Absolutely and Completely Sold!

    I can't see why people would buy the iPod Touch? Yet, there are still more iPod Touch users than iPhone users, so WTF? You either buy a 64GB iPod Touch for $399 or a 64GB iPad for $699 or $829 with 3G + Wi-Fi that AT&T is offering a NO CONTRACT Unlimited Data Plan for $30 a month and Access to ALL AT&T Wi-Fi Spots! Plus iPad has 802.11n! I do see high sale numbers because some of those iPod Touch user are going to trade up and get a iPad. This will have high sales in summer for school and high on Christmas sales. I say 5 Million iPads sold. I like James Cameron's Avatar but I didn't think it would gross over $1.85 Billion Dollars worldwide either. I love a challenge and I like to see this beat the c*** out of Microsoft's Tablet Editions and Amazon Kindles. I'm sold!

  1. MyRightEye

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Apr 2008

    -1

    I'm disappointed

    Not much, but I am all the same.

    I want cell phone, and a camera for augmented reality.

    I would normally buy the best one for $829, but with no cell and no camera, I just can not justify that. I will though buy the $499 model, because for $499, it's a brilliant device. If Apple wants more $$ from me, they'll need to add a cell phone and camera.

  1. Constable Odo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2007

    +4

    I'd buy both a Touch and an iPad...

    I held off buying an iPod Touch last year because I thought that Apple was going to slip a video recorder into the Touch and I didn't want to miss out on it. Anyway I still intend to buy a Touch to replace my older 30 GB 5G iPod so I could have a larger screen to watch videos and play games and it would fit in my pocket.

    Now I also intend to get the 64 GB iPad with only WiFi because it will be used strictly around the house over WiFi. I really look forward to getting that iPad. I think it should be really nice to sit down and watch movies on. Plus I want to load all my Japanese language .pdf files on it. Apple should definitely be able to sell more than 2 million in the U.S. this year and if customers opt for the less expensive versions, there could be households that would have two tablets.

  1. chirpy22

    Junior Member

    Joined: Jan 2006

    +4

    processor

    So, I don't get it. Is Apple ditching Intel now for their own inhouse chip production?

  1. Jonathan-Tanya

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Oct 2004

    -1

    Kindle wins with readers

    If that 4 million number holds true, how many of those will be avid readers, and how many will be iPod/App Store fans, trading up.

    Even a generous estimation that 50% of those sales were driven by avid book readers - I doubt it, but lets say it anyway, then 2 million iPads are going to see heavy use as a book purchasing platform.

    Sure even the people that bought it to be a music player/video player, mobile web device, or business device - may read *some* books on it, but those types of sales, historically don't add up to huge numbers.

    So 2 million, more like 1 million being sold to book readers...a great start, but that would still put it far behind the Kindle for 2010. They are predicted to sell 4 million Kindles this year - 100% of which are going to avid book readers/purchasers of books.

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