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AAPL Stock: 502.12 ( -0.09 )

iPhone changes outlook, weakens carriers positions

updated 10:30 pm EDT, Mon July 13, 2009

Analyst on iPhone and ATT


Despite the current government inquiry into the exclusive relationships between handset makers and carriers, Bernstein Research analyst Craig Moffett suggests the iPhone has not been entirely positive for AT&T. Apple's device has contributed to network strain, with many users criticizing AT&T for blocking VoIP apps and tethering.

“Apple has radically tilted the strategic playing field away from the network operator in favor of the device manufacturer,” Moffett says. “Remarkably, Apple has so thoroughly stolen the customer relationship - who would argue that Apple iPhone customers’ first affinity is to the device rather than to the network - that the network is not only irrelevant, it is rather a source of derision.”

AT&T has also been blasted by a number of developers. While Apple has been criticized for the lack of clarity regarding its App Store approval process, many rejections have been blamed on AT&T. A variety of apps have been forced to restrict data transfer to Wi-Fi instead of the carrier's 3G network.

Moffett suggests iPhone users' "voracious data appetites" have been estimated to exceed the standard average by a factor of ten. The overburden is said to be particularly problematic in coastal cities such as San Francisco or New York City.

Although the government is investigating the potential negative side effects of exclusive relationships in the wireless industry, Moffett claims the deals may have had a positive influence for consumers. He cites an improvement in the average price for unlimited data and voice plans, which have dropped by 55-percent since February.

“In short, the iPhone seems to be doing just fine at wrecking the wireless business without the government’s help,” Moffett writes, adding that "we would be surprised if anything comes of the government’s saber-rattling about handset exclusivity (even if, ironically, it might actually help save the wireless carriers from themselves.)” [via Barron's]


by MacNN Staff

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Comments

  1. jdonahoe

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jul 2006

    +1

    Just as predicted

    Wasn't this predicted over a year ago? That the carriers were only going to be conduits and irrelevant.

  1. rytc

    Senior User

    Joined: Jan 2001

    +1

    About time

    Well it's about time they realised they will soon just start be providing data access and that's it. The same happened to the landline telcos, where naked DSL etc without an associated telephone is quite normal. To be honest I find it good, I have been ripped off because of exorbitant fees one time too many and will be happy when all my cell calls everywhere in the world are via VOIP.

  1. rytc

    Senior User

    Joined: Jan 2001

    0

    About time

    Well it's about time they realised they will soon just start be providing data access and that's it. The same happened to the landline telcos, where naked DSL etc without an associated telephone is quite normal. To be honest I find it good, I have been ripped off because of exorbitant fees one time too many and will be happy when all my cell calls everywhere in the world are via VOIP.

  1. wwalkersd

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2008

    +5

    Well predicted

    I was saying over 10 years ago that the carriers kept trying to get into the wrong business, and all we really want from them is a reliable data pipe. The carriers want to be AOL/CompuServe and haven't figured out that that model is dead, dead, dead.

  1. chefpastry

    Mac Enthusiast

    Joined: Nov 2005

    0

    No iPhone for them

    That's a nice way to assure themselves that they'll never get the iPhone. Apple would never relinquish control of the App Store.

  1. Le Flaneur

    Mac Enthusiast

    Joined: Oct 1999

    +2

    consumer is the problem

    It's clear that the only reason why iPhone users resort to AT&T is that it's required. But how many iPhone users would be willing to pay an unsubsidized price for the iPhone? Subsidizing is the real problem behind the exclusivity and contract agreements.

  1. LouZer

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Nov 2000

    +2

    Re: about time

    The only reason the telcos offer naked DSL is because they were required to by the FCC. They also don't want to be just a data pipe.

  1. ethical_paul

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Mar 2002

    -1

    well, Le Flaneur...

    ....we all paid the unsubsidized price for the original iphone back in June 07 so apparently there's quite a few of us out there.

  1. testudo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

    0

    weakening

    I guess it depends on your definition of 'weakens'. Until consumers can go out and just buy phones separate from any carrier, and then get a plan from whomever they want, there ain't much weakening going on.

    I don't see how ATT is weakened by the fact that they've got that nice iPhone locking users into their plans for 2 years.

  1. testudo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

    0

    oh

    And its just moving around who has control. So if ATT is weaker, it just means Apple is stronger, not the consumer.

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