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AAPL Stock: 509.46 ( + 6.86 )

Morgan Stanley: iPhone sales to double in 2009

updated 09:10 am EDT, Wed June 18, 2008

M. Stanley on iPhone 3G


iPhone sales should at least double in 2009, says Morgan Stanley. "We believe the market generally expects a doubling of iPhone units with the lower price point ($199)," writes the investment bank, "and we believe this is realistic, if not conservative." Company analysts in fact predict sales of 27 million iPhones during the 2009 calendar year, which would suggest sales of about 13.5 million this year. Average revenue per unit in 2009 is expected to be $550, Reuters observes.

Apple's operating leverage is underestimated, according to Stanley, and a new mass-market price combined with vastly expanded distribution should result in high-margin software and service income in the long run. The bank's new price target for Apple is $210, raised from $185.


by MacNN Staff

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Comments

  1. bjojade

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2007

    0

    IT'S NOT CHEAPER!!

    Goes to show that the cell companies had it right all along. Show a fake cheaper price up front and people will think they are getting a deal. In reality, this phone's TCO is more over the 2 year contract. Doh.

  1. drole.homme

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jun 2007

    0

    Gotta agree

    i was thinking about getting the 3G version because it's shiny and new but I'm going to pay $30 for data and $5 for texts when I won't ever being taking advantage of 3G speeds (I live in the sticks and actually EDGE is not too bad). With the increased costs the 3G is actually more expensive in the long run. People are too stupid to think beyond the price tag - go capitalism!

  1. MeandmyMac

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Feb 2008

    +2

    Fuzzy Math?!

    As would apply to my phone plan if I had an iPhone now or in the future, if the 2.5G EDGE iPhone cost 399.00 plus a 24 month contract of the lowest voice plan (450 min) 39.99 plus 20.00 data plan (39.99 20.00 = 59.99) 24 months x 59.99 = 1,439.76 399.00 iPhone = 1838.76 (not including taxes or fees etc) versus the new 3G iPhone (forget text msgs for a second) is 199.00 (new reduced phone price) plus a 24 month contract of the lowest voice plan (450 min) 39.99 plus 30.00 data plan (39.99 30.00 = 69.99) 24 months x 69.99 = 1,679.76 199.00 iPhone = 1878.76 or a difference of 40.00 (thanks to the subsidized iPhone price) and over the life of the 24 month contract 1.67 a month extra (40.00/24mo.) for 3G speeds. Is there something I am not seeing here that people complain that they are paying more? I don't see it. Someone care to explain where my math is wrong and why the new reduced price iPhone and the 10.00 increase in data charges negligently increase TCO.

  1. ZinkDifferent

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Jan 2005

    +1

    People who do not...


    ...own a phone, or an iPhone, will always invent fables of how 'cheaper is more expensive'.

    On a minimal plan, you end up paying $160 more over 2 years. That's less than $7 a month more, for what can be considered to be better service, faster speed, and a couple of extra features.

    If you can't afford $7 a month, then you have no business owning an iPhone. It's that simple.

    For the people endlessly complaining about Nickels and Dimes, and how it's too expensive, etc.. Well, Don't Get An iPhone, then, It's not for you. It's clearly only for rich, intelligent people with a job. So there!

  1. testudo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

    0

    Re: gotta agree

    Sorry, people aren't stupid because they see the price is cheapeer. Any way you cut it, more people can afford the iPhone now because it will cost $200 less at time of purchase.

    As for the TCO being more, you people need to take some economic classes. Paying over the span of 2 years actually costs you less then paying it all up front.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timevalueof_money

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