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AAPL Stock: 562.29 ( -3.03 )

Report: Apple will surpass IBM in 2 years

updated 01:50 am EDT, Thu May 24, 2007

Apple to surpass IBM?


Apple will surpass IBM in terms of market capitalization in the next two years, according to one analyst. Calling IBM and Apple two of America's best run companies, a BloggingStocks.com report says that both companies have achieved high levels of success--rewaring shareholders have along the way, but that both are in different parts of their growth cycle. Apple, in a growth phase, will surpass the industry giant, emerging as the winner going forward: "In fact, I'm sure Apple will overtake IBM in value over the next two years. Bottom line: Apple will be bigger than IBM.... Apple will be a bigger company than IBM in terms of market capitalization. As of this writing Apple is just about to hit $100 billion in market cap while IBM is at $158 billion. The direction of both companies are at a variance to each other and Apple is certainly enjoying the strength of a major product cycle."


by MacNN Staff

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  1. l008com

    Addicted to MacNN

    Joined: Jan 2000

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    Steve

    Steve jobs would be so proud... if it was 1985

  1. Simon

    Posting Junkie

    Joined: Nov 2000

    0

    re: steve

    Would he have believed it in 1983?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dai0v2T6Gr4

  1. chucker

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Mar 2007

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    ibm

    The question is not how apple did so well, but how IBM screwed up so badly?

    A company that has these moments of extreme creativity (the original PC, OS2, thinkpads, powerpc's) only to dump them all on seeming whims of their nicely suited management, has IBM actually become irrelevant in the computer industry now?

  1. climacs

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Sep 2001

    0

    MBAs

    Blame it on the idiotic 'leadership' of all those MBAs churned out by American business schools. They're the ones who nearly drove Apple out of business. Unimaginative, un-innovative leadership, especially in the high tech field, is the kiss of death.

    Oh hey and guess what? Our 'president' holds an MBA. Need I say more?

  1. climacs

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Sep 2001

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    Is this just the start?

    OK the hi-tech analysts are notorious for 'irrational exuberance', but just imagine if Apple is only at the knee of their growth curve. Imagine if AAPL is headed for $500 a share five years from now.

    Wow. I don't think it's at all out of the question. I just hope Apple has in the back of its collective mind, some way to continue Jobs' leadership after he's gone. He is still healthy and relatively young, but he won't be around forever.

  1. Glasspusher

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Oct 2000

    0

    pc != innovative

    The original PC was hardly innovative. It was a POS, specifically designed as such by IBM so as to not threaten their higher end computers. Rumor has it that it was designed using Apple IIs.

    Climacs is right- I hope that Apple can continue its innovation after Jobs is gone. If not, I'm hopeful some other company will pick up the ball.

  1. vasic

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: May 2005

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    First IBM, then MS

    Let's take a look at the current situation:

    AAPL: 98.7B IBM: 57.07B MSFT: 293.99B

    Now, let's look at the 5-year growth:

    http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AAPL%2C+MSFT%2C+IBM&hl=en (click on 5 years)

    Both IBM and MSFT seem to be flatlining. Meanwhile, AAPL has gone from $7 to $114 in little over 3 years.

    Even if this trend slows significantly for AAPL, there is nothing in business fundamentals of either IBM or MSFT to indicate that their flatline would suddenly begin to grow.

    On the other hand, AAPL, having opened two significant markets (living room with aTV, and mobile with iPhone) has enormous potential for continued sustainable growth.

    Bottom line: three years from now, Apple's market capitalisation will surpass Microsoft.

    Now, how do you like the sound of that?

  1. GORDYmac

    Mac Elite

    Joined: Dec 1999

    0

    It'd be impressive...

    ...if IBM still made a full line of PCs--which they stopped some time ago. They sold their laptop business to Lenovo.

  1. vasic

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: May 2005

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    Historic meaning

    Surpassing IBM today has mostly symbolic significance, considering the two companies' historic rivalry. IBM's core business diverged from Apple's long ago, so the competition is more-or-less gone. However, to everybody who was alive and adult in the late 80's, this will have enormous significance.

    Just as surpasing MSFT will be really significant to today's generation.

  1. testudo

    Fresh-Faced Recruit

    Joined: Aug 2001

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    Re: first IBM, then MS

    Stock price is only part of the equation. A flat-line doesn't mean the company is just stable, or not producing money. Its just that investors are basing its price more on what it has, not for what they think might be coming up in the future.

    And stock price is all just whispers and fairy dust anyway. The price is based on nothing more then people's perceptions on a company. The price could tumble tomorrow for no reason other then people locking in their gains.

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