digital music/video

05/14/2007, 1:50pm, EDT

Monday, May 14th

Study: no future for iTunes videos

Online video vendors such as Apple's iTunes Store are likely to see sales peaks this year, according to one study, but that growth will taper off next year if consumers don't start paying for online videos in droves. Forrester Research expects sales of movies and TV shows to almost triple to almost $280 million this year from almost $100 million last year, according to Reuters. "In the video space, iTunes is just a temporary flash while consumers wait for better ways to get video. They're already coming," said Forrester Research analyst James McQuivey who authored the study. McQuivey also called the paid download video market a "dead end," according to the report, and estimates that sales growth is not likely to triple or even double in 2008 and beyond. "Free is going to win," said McQuivey.


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Free Music
0
05/14, 2:08pm, EDT
Didn't they predict the same thing about music?
Mac Elite
Joined May 2001
User is offline
ridiculous
0
05/14, 2:15pm, EDT
of course just like the last several years, Apple will not innovate, will not foresee and anticipate developments in the market.

*rolling eyes*
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Sep 2001
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no future for Zune
0
05/14, 2:17pm, EDT
there's your headline. Other companies *coughMicrosoftcough* think they can command and control the market just like old-school Soviet bureaucracies. Apple instead sees the wave and tries to get ahead of it and ride it, just like a surfer.
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Sep 2001
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It won't be free...
0
05/14, 2:37pm, EDT
but it will win.

The only way to support online video in the long run is ad sponsored video. The consumer will pay by watching videos with ads or pay by an upfront fee for video without ads. Most will sit through the ads for the convenience of watching on demand over paying fees upfront.
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Dec 2005
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Forrester Research Uh Boy
0
05/14, 2:43pm, EDT
The fundimental problem with these reports are the agendas of the people authoring the report.

The fact are for most people 5-10 minutes is all the time anyone is going to spend watching a video. IF you are going to wathc something that is longer and more of an emersive experience you will want to watch that on your 720p + tv and the last time i checked you tube does not look very good at 720p...

This guy is just John C Dvorak'ing iTunes video...
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Jul 2002
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YouTube
0
05/14, 2:50pm, EDT
YouTube and others are low quality crap. No matter how funny or interesting those videos are, I do not like them at all. HD or at least 480p DVD quality is the way to go.
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Sep 2000
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ad-free will have a place
0
05/14, 3:05pm, EDT
Ad-free video will always have a place in the market. The exploding use of DVR's to record shows expressly for the purpose of skipping past the ads makes this clear. I absolutely detest commercials and would gladly pay a small fee for whatever video entertainment I wish to view.
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Aug 2001
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Forrester track record
0
05/14, 3:06pm, EDT
Remember, Forrester is the same company who stated that iTunes sales went down in 2006 based on their study. The study took the AAPL stock down a bit, but the fact is iTunes sales is continually climbing up.

http://www.ipodnn.com/articles/06/12/11/digital.music.plummeting/

http://www.ipodnn.com/articles/06/12/14/comscore.itunes.steady/
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Oct 2000
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Podcasts are free
0
05/14, 3:12pm, EDT
Duh, iTunes is not limited to 10$ movies. Its much more than that and growing.
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined Aug 2001
User is offline
Forrester phone number
0
05/14, 3:13pm, EDT
Anyone got the number for their HR department? Clearly, an analyst working for them need not be accurate, insightful, or aware of emerging trends. I think I got that job covered!
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined May 2003
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