Apple "scraped the surface" in Europe
updated 10:45 am EDT, Fri September 22, 2006
Apple "scraped the surface
More than half of Europe's loyal Apple customers are biding their time before purchasing new Intel-based Macs, according to a recent survey conducted by analyst firm Piper Jaffray. The firm attended Apple's Paris Expo last week, speaking with 50 European Apple customers about Intel Mac buying intentions, iPod purchase habits, and price sensitivity for Apple's anticipated 'iPhone.' More than half of those customers -- 56 percent -- said they have yet to upgrade to an Intel-based Mac, but half of those users said they expect to upgrade within the next six months. Several respondents mentioned waiting for Adobe's Intel-native Creative Suite before upgrading to the Intel architecture. "We had expected that a higher percentage of these loyal customers would have already made the move to an Intel Mac and we see this as a sign that Apple has so far just scraped the surface of the Mac transition opportunity," wrote Piper Jaffray senior analyst Gene Munster. The firm maintains its 'outperform' rating on Apple shares with a price target of $99.
When asked about iPod purchasing habits, Apple's loyal European customers indicated via survey results that the company's iPod and iTunes products are still in the early growth stage in Europe, similar to the U.S. iPod market 4-6 quarters ago, according to Munster. Those customers typically upgrade to a new iPod every 1.6 years, owned 1.6 iPods on average over the last five years, and most purchased their first iPod 2.5 years ago. Additionally, the analyst found that the average European Apple customer likely purchased their first iPod within the last 1-2 years.
Ideal iPhone pricing
The same survey found that European customers are interested in Apple's anticipated 'iPhone' mobile handset with audio playback capability, but only if the price is right. A whopping 74 percent of respondents said they would probably purchase a music phone, saying that, on average, they would pay $285 for such a device. Those results reinforce Piper Jaffray's thinking that Apple must price an iPhone in the $300 range to gain significant product traction in the mobile market.
"We asked European Apple customers if they would be interested in an iPhone that holds 1,000 songs and found that 74 percent would be highly likely to buy such a product," Munster wrote in a research note obtained by MacNN. "Price is clearly a consideration, however, and many customers indicated that they feel that an iPhone has the same value as Apple's high capacity iPods."
U.S. Music Phones pick up steam
In a separate research report, Munster speculates that Apple will introduce its iPhone within the next 3-6 months, in part because the U.S. music-enabled handset market shows signs that it is "becoming real." The analyst found around 25 phones with music playback capability are currently available from U.S. mobile operators at an average price of $317.
"We believe Apple will look to time its iPhone launch perfectly with the inflection point in this market and we believe that point will be within the next year."
The number of music-enabled phones currently available is higher than expected, according to the analyst, but the hype related to the music phone market "has yet to begin." Several phones -- such as the LG Chocolate and Motorola SLVR -- have created a buzz in the market, but most of the rest have not met with significant fanfare. However, because rivals are producing more music-enabled phones which are seeing increasing success, Munster believes Apple must enter the market fairly soon to avoid missing early adopters.
"We believe Apple will launch an iPhone in the next 3-6 months, which will likely draw more attention to this market and contribute the significant growth expectations implied in industry analyst market forecasts."
Multiple indications of Apple's rumored iPhone have already surfaced, including Apple's registration of the domain name 'iPhone.org' and its 'Mobile Me' trademark filed in January. A report also surfaced in May alleging that Japanese cellphone service provider Softbank and Apple had agreed to jointly develop mobile phones.










Options...
09/22, 11:28am reply
Hoping for the all-in-one brick including an HD camera (1920x1200/848x480mov), 60G+, GSM phone, iCal & Address book, iTunes & anything else they can pack in...
Water & drop resistant would be a real bonus!
Competition for the TREO anyone ?
bobolicious
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Aug 2002
Brick
09/22, 12:41pm reply
the iPod sells because it performs it's prime function, and very well. It also fits in one's pocket. That's a true statement, not just something written on a box with an asterisk. Not sure an all-in-one pocket device would satisfy as either.
tindrum
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Apr 2004
I'm shocked!
09/22, 01:09pm reply
Shocked, I say! To find that only 74% of so-called mac faithful would buy an iPhone. Seems to me there's a quarter of people who claim to be part of the faithful who aren't. Everyone knows you MUST buy anything apple sells. That's the rules.
testudo
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Aug 2001
i'm shocked!
09/22, 01:22pm reply
that testudo still lives in his mom's basement.
rtbarry
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Aug 2001
shocked you say
09/22, 01:55pm reply
hey rtbarry, look up the word 'irony' in your dictionary, and you will find out what Testudo's meant.
And drink some Sangria too
yannb
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Mar 2001
iphone
09/22, 02:11pm reply
I don't think the first Apple phone will be an all in one brick. It iwll work and it will be awesome, but it will also be relatively simple. Look back to the iPod as an indicator. Remember what it shipped with? Pretty simple. I think the phone will be the same. Of course there will be features, but Apple will probably keep it simple to work out the hardware manufacturing issues and to build market share. Remember, they are trying to build a revenue stream, so 2G, 3G, 4G have probably be scoped out, at least form a development point of view.
jakengracey
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Mar 2006
hey yannb
09/22, 02:29pm reply
so whats your point yannb.
Oh, the use of irony protects you from any response....great point! Good one.
Sorry, I looked up irony in the dictionary, but the implications took a while to sink in.
Jonathan-Tanya
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Oct 2004
this annoys me.
09/22, 04:48pm reply
And again, here's a "survey" that's been presented as "hard facts". HELLO! They asked 50 people. Fifty. How can that be, in any way,
R E P R E S E N T A T I V E ? ? ?
A few days ago I got annoyed because MacNN touted the figures of some other "survey", where 4000 people across Europe were asked about their opinion on one thing or the other. 4000 people, out of what, 730 million or so. That's hardly representative.
But THIS now... jeez. MacNN, I would be ashamed. You call that journalism?
Jeronimo2000
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Aug 2001
I am on the fence
09/22, 07:10pm reply
I would like the idea of a phone that can play music. BUT, I don't want a phone that won't let me put my own music on it, but instead download it from the phone service. Also, what company is going support this phone, Sprint, Verison, T-mobile, or Cingular? I am more interested in a device like the new Sony Mylo. It could use some improvements and a lower price, but that is more what I would like. Even better, have a phone that can use GSM and VOIP for the best of both worlds. Unfortunetly, the big corps. are going to spoon-feed the technology to us as slowly as possible.
lamewing
Forum Regular
Joined: Aug 2004
iPhone?
09/24, 07:16pm reply
Haha! The iPhone isn't a reality yet, and till it does pop up on stage at an apple event, or better yet, the apple online store, no one should be asking if one would purchase.
Fast iBook
Fresh-Faced Recruit
Joined: Mar 2003