The percentage of revenue left after subtracting product costs for Apple in its September-ended quarter was 28.1 percent, narrower than the 29.7 percent in the June-ended quarter, which leads some analysts to believe that
Apple's profitability could suffer over time. Shaw Wu, an analyst at American Technology Research estimates the gross margin average of all iPod models is approximately 22 percent, narrower than the margin earned on its higher-end Macintosh computers, according to a report from
Reuters. "You look at last quarter, their gross margin went down a bit sequentially," Wu said, referring to Apple. Chris Whitmore, a Deutsche Bank analyst noted "as music and iPods continue to outpace computer hardware sales we expect that shift to drive lower profit margins, but that will continue to translate into pretty strong operating-income dollars and earnings per share."
Analysts say the cost of flash chips, which is expected to decrease over time, is a factor that can push Apple's gross margin in either direction. "As those costs go down, Apple's likely to respond by lowering prices because they're anxious to fend off competitors," said Roger Kay, principal of market research firm Endpoint Technologies Associates. Operating income as a percentage of revenue in the company's most recent fourth quarter was 11.4 percent, more than double the 5.5 percent in the year-ago quarter. "Apple has offset the gross margin pressure by managing its business better," Wu said.
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If Apple can continue to leverage the consumer space with the iPod and eventually a media center, it can afford to lower profit margins on Macs to grow that market. Great! Carefully, slowly, Apple seems to making all the right moves right now.
I'm kidding...people complain that Apple is too expensive (Dvorak) and now someone complains that Apple doesn't make enough money off of their products? I'm sure there's a bunch of spreadsheets at Apple which indicate where drive prices are heading and how they affect the product (and margin). As far as i can tell...Apple is driving hardware sales with(free) iTunes and (Somewhat free) Quicktime along with the affordable to expensive range of iPods. This feeds into other hardware sales...obviously since Apple's market share isn't stagnant or falling.
That drop versus an increase in Mac's sold seems to completely counter this guys explanation for the lower margins. Less iPods were sold, more Macs were sold. Lower margins can't then be blamed on the iPod, at least not entirely.
One day an analyst will wake up, get out of bed an make the decision to think through his/her comments before talking out loud, North Korea will stop plotting to take over the world, we'll discover that faster than light travel is possible after all, the secret to cold fusion and how to make the perfect omelet. Yes I'm a dreamer but I think 4 out of those 5 things are actually possible. You can guess which one isn't.
Apple's highest profit margins came from their computer lines. However, they have shown that computers are now their secondary concern (how many new iPods were released this year vs. new macs, right, thought so). Second, lower margins can be offset with more sales, for which the iPod has been doing so far (sell more, make more total profit).
However, if you actually think Apple's sales of the iPods are going to keep increasing forever, your nuts. And once the sales start leveling off, guess what, lower margins on steady sales means lower profits.
Note, BTW, they don't actually say "Watch out, next quarter is going to suck!". They're giving a future forecast and analysis. Its their job. And, yes, Apple could make changes that affect that. Duh, that's what businesses do (and if you don't think that Apple has its own analysts who aren't telling them the same thing, you're still dreaming. So Apple knows the same thing, and I'm sure their plans are to deal with it as the time comes.
To me, the worst you should say about this is "Duh! Who can't figure that out. More commentary from Mr. Obvious." But it isn't wrong analysis.